The Real Fed Chairman

Posted September 17, 2026

By Sean Ring

I got the Fed call wrong because I was watching the wrong Fed. The Federal Open Market Committee doesn’t meet in Washington 8 times a year. It trades every day. By the time Kevin Warsh raised rates Wednesday, the bond market had already made the decision for him.
The Real Fed Chairman

The Untied Kingdom

Posted September 16, 2026

By Sean Ring

Breaking up is easy when it’s only about flags, parliaments, and national pride. It gets harder when somebody asks who owns the debt, who funds the deficits, and what currency everyone plans to use on Monday morning.
The Untied Kingdom

The Great AI Alibi

Posted September 15, 2026

By Byron King

For years, Silicon Valley told investors there was no price too high for artificial intelligence. Spend the trillion. Build the data centers. Buy the chips. Drain the grid. Now, suddenly, the same crowd wants to slow down — for humanity’s sake, naturally. Funny how existential caution arrived just as the bills came due.
The Great AI Alibi

A Tribute to Washington

Posted September 14, 2026

By Sean Ring

Rome collected tribute from its protectorates. Washington prefers LNG contracts, tariffs, and factories. Different empire, same arrangement.
A Tribute to Washington

The Bypass Bullseye

Posted September 11, 2026

By Sean Ring

Saudi Arabia built the East-West Pipeline to escape the Strait of Hormuz. But once Hormuz closed, the bypass became indispensable. And anything indispensable eventually becomes a target.
The Bypass Bullseye

Marked to Market, Marked to Myth

Posted September 10, 2026

By Sean Ring

Pete Hegseth and Scott Bessent are both fighting battles that are going badly. But only one man has the luxury of arguing about the score. The Pentagon runs on politics and narrative. The Treasury runs on prices. And prices are becoming very inconvenient for Bessent.
Marked to Market, Marked to Myth

The Blue Collar Bull

Posted September 09, 2026

By Sean Ring

For decades, the surest trade in the labor market was long college degrees and short manual work. That trade is reversing. And like most crowded trades, the people caught on the wrong side are discovering that yesterday’s prestige offers no protection.
The Blue Collar Bull

The Sea Keeps Honest Books

Posted September 08, 2026

By Byron King

The media saw bad meals aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln. The sea saw something else entirely: too many missions, too few ships, and 35 years of neglected American naval power.
The Sea Keeps Honest Books

The Book Guillotine

Posted September 07, 2026

By Sean Ring

Jeff Bezos built Amazon by selling books. Thirty-two years later, his company is buying old ones by the thousand, chopping off their spines, scanning their pages, and throwing what remains in the trash.
The Book Guillotine

The Palace of Fiscal Dominance

Posted September 04, 2026

By Sean Ring

I went to Avignon expecting medieval architecture. Instead, I found one of the clearest explanations of fiscal dominance ever built.
The Palace of Fiscal Dominance